@InCollection{CoelhoBroWilMitCas:2019:FoVeS2,
author = "Coelho, Caio Augusto dos Santos and Brown, Barbara and Wilson,
Laurence and Mittermaier, Marion and Casati, Barbara",
title = "Forecast verification for S2S time scales",
booktitle = "Sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction: the gap between weather and
climate forecasting",
publisher = "Elsevier",
year = "2019",
editor = "Robertson, Andrew W. and Vitart, Fr{\'e}d{\'e}ric",
pages = "1",
keywords = "Forecast quality assessment, Forecast performance attributes,
Forecast verification methods across timescales and space scales,
Seamless verification, User-oriented verification.",
abstract = "Forecast verification is a key component of a forecasting system;
it provides information about forecast qualify to model and
forecast developers and various users. This chapter provides an
overview of methods relevant to sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S)
forecast verification, starting with the definition of forecast
goodness and some fundamental forecast quality attributes. Next,
the factors affecting the design of verification studies are
presented. The recognition of uncertainties in observational data
sets and the need for care in matching forecasts and observations
is also discussed. A large part of the chapter is dedicated to a
review of the most common deterministic and probabilistic forecast
verification measures and a summary of novel spatial verification
methods developed during the last two decades. Types of S2S
forecasts and current verification practices are presented. The
chapter concludes with a summary, challenges, and recommendations
for advancing S2S verification research and practice.",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {National
Center for Atmospheric Research} and {Environment and Climate
Change Canada} and {UK Met Office} and {Environment and Climate
Change Canada}",
doi = "10.1016/B978-0-12-811714-9.00016-4",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-811714-9.00016-4",
isbn = "9780128117149",
label = "lattes: 4978912302419377 1 CoelhoBroWilMitCas:2018:FoVeS2",
language = "en",
targetfile = "coelho_forecast.pdf",
url = "https://www.elsevier.com/books/sub-seasonal-to-seasonal-prediction/robertson/978-0-12-811714-9",
urlaccessdate = "29 mar. 2024"
}