@Article{NascimentoWestBörnOmet:2019:WhDrIn,
               author = "Nascimento, Nath{\'a}lia and West, Thales A. P. and B{\"o}rner, 
                         Jan and Ometto, Jean Pierre Henry Balbaud",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {New 
                         Zealand Forest Research Institute} and {University of Bonn} and 
                         {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
                title = "What drives intensification of land use at agricultural frontiers 
                         in the Brazilian Amazon? evidence from a decision game",
              journal = "Forests",
                 year = "2019",
               volume = "10",
               number = "6",
                pages = "464",
             keywords = "land-use decision, agricultural expansion, local agents, decision 
                         game.",
             abstract = "Land-use change results from the decisions of diverse actors in 
                         response to economic and political contexts. Identification of 
                         underlying decision-making processes is key to understanding 
                         land-use patterns, anticipating trends, and designing effective 
                         environmental governance mechanisms. Here, we use a scenario-based 
                         decision game to examine hypothetical land-use decisions among 
                         four groups of rural producers in the municipalities of Sinop, 
                         Guarant{\~a} do Norte and Novo Progresso in the Brazilian Amazon. 
                         We simulate changes in agricultural prices, production cost, and 
                         frequency of environmental monitoring (in situ inspections) to 
                         understand how land-use decisions are made and change with shifts 
                         in economic and governance incentives. Hypothetical land-use 
                         decisions vary across scenarios, but not across study sites; 
                         environmental law enforcement influence land decisions, but not to 
                         the extent of dominating market factors and not for all types of 
                         producers. Decision games cannot substitute approaches to explain 
                         behavioral responses from observational data. However, they can 
                         provide immediate feedback on behavioral hypotheses before 
                         comprehensive observational data becomes available and support the 
                         development of models for land-use policy planning at local and 
                         regional scales.",
                  doi = "10.3390/f10060464",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/f10060464",
                 issn = "1999-4907",
                label = "lattes: 1325667605623244 4 
                         NascimentoWestB{\"o}rnOmet:2019:WhDrIn",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "forests-10-00464.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "26 abr. 2024"
}