@Article{RaoMaSrFrDaGa:2019:FuInEx,
author = "Rao, Vadlamudi Brahmananda and Maneesha, K. and Sravya,
Panangipalli and Franchito, Sergio Henrique and Dasari, Hariprasad
and Gan, Manoel Alonso",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Regional
Centre Visakhapatnam} and {King Abdulla University of Science and
Technology} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}
and {King Abdulla University of Science and Technology} and
{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
title = "Future increase in extreme El Nino events under greenhouse warming
increases Zika virus incidence in South America",
journal = "NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science",
year = "2019",
volume = "4",
number = "1",
pages = "1--7",
note = "{Setores de Atividade: Pesquisa e desenvolvimento
cient{\'{\i}}fico.}",
keywords = "evento extremo, ENSO, ZIKA virus.",
abstract = "The Zika virus (ZIKV) was first found in Zika forest, Uganda in
1947. The disease appeared in the Americas, Northeast Brazil in
May 2015. ZIKV propagated rapidly across the Americas and the
World Health Organization (WHO) in February 2016 declared this as
a public health emergency of international concern. The
temperature conditions related to extreme El Niņo of 201516 were
exceptionally favorable for ZIKV spreading in South America. For
the recent spreading of ZIKV, in Americas, Northeast Brazil was
the starting point and it was associated with the extreme El Niņo
201516. Paz and Semenza found that there is a striking overlap
when the regions with extreme climatic conditions in 1 month are
juxtaposed with the geographic distribution of ZIKV in subsequent
months. They found that the unique climatic conditions generated
by extreme El Niņo of 201516 are congenial for the dispersal of
ZIKV in the Americas. This is not a just coincidence and many
authors noted that ZIKV vector Aedes aegypti is strongly dependent
on surface climate conditions that occur during extreme El Niņo
events. Recently a study found that extreme El Niņo events will
double in future in response to greenhouse warming. Also it was
discovered that the increase of extreme El Niņo frequency will
continue long after 1.5 °C warming stabilization. We analyze
future extreme El Niņo events along with associated surface
temperatures and calculated the ZIKV quantitatively in future
extreme El Niņo events and found that large parts of South America
are highly favorable for the spread of the disease.",
doi = "10.1038/s41612-019-0061-0",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-019-0061-0",
issn = "2397-3722",
label = "lattes: 3214369697732376 6 RaoMaSrFrDaGa:2019:FuInEx",
language = "en",
targetfile = "s41612-019-0061-0.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "25 abr. 2024"
}