@Article{PavanelliNoWeSmGeOm:2021:DoAgPr,
               author = "Pavanelli, Jo{\~a}o Arthur Pompeu and Nolasco, Camille Lanzarotti 
                         and West, Paul and Smith, Pete and Gerage, Jacqueline and Ometto, 
                         Jean Pierre Henry Balbaud",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto 
                         Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {University of 
                         Minnesota} and {University of Aberdeen} and {} and {Instituto 
                         Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
                title = "Is domestic agricultural production sufficient to meet national 
                         food nutrient needs in Brazil?",
              journal = "PLoS One",
                 year = "2021",
               volume = "16",
               number = "5",
                pages = "e0251778",
             abstract = "Reducing the impacts of agriculture on the environment is one of 
                         the greatest challenges of this century. In Brazil, it is often 
                         argued that more land use change is needed to achieve food 
                         security. However, analyses seeking to understand the dynamics 
                         between agricultural production for exports and food intended for 
                         the Brazilian population have not approached the question if 
                         national agriculture is sufficient to provide Brazilians with the 
                         necessary nutrients, according to nutritional recommendations. In 
                         this sense, we sought to combine supply and dietary requirements 
                         for food (calories and nutrients) to assess trends in nutrient 
                         production and how future population projections and possible 
                         changes in diets would affect land necessity for nutritional 
                         security. We use sub-national data on agricultural production, 
                         population, Food Balance Sheets from FAO, and a compilation of 
                         nutritional information on the Brazilian agricultural production. 
                         Our results show that, in the last three decades, Brazil produced 
                         enough food calories to feed on average 115% of its population. We 
                         found that the agricultural land in 2017, without any expansion, 
                         is sufficient to feed, at least, 105% of projected population in 
                         2060, considering the same productivity and dietary patterns. In a 
                         vegan diet scenario, less than 10% of the land dedicated to 
                         agricultural production in the past 30 years would be required. 
                         Despite limitations on supplying certain micro-nutrients, a vegan 
                         diet would require even less land in the future. We conclude that 
                         Brazilian agriculture could deliver enough food to meet Brazilians 
                         nutritional needs without further land expansion. Food production 
                         is compatible with environmental conservation in Brazil, 
                         especially if meat consumption is reduced.",
                  doi = "10.1371/journal.pone.0251778",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0251778",
                 issn = "1932-6203",
                label = "lattes: 1325667605623244 6 PompeuNoWeSmGeOm:2021:DoAgPr",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "pompeu_is.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "20 maio 2024"
}