1. Identificação | |
Tipo de Referência | Artigo em Evento (Conference Proceedings) |
Site | mtc-m16d.sid.inpe.br |
Código do Detentor | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
Identificador | 8JMKD3MGP7W/383LCG8 |
Repositório | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2010/08.12.19.49 |
Última Atualização | 2012:09.11.13.05.37 (UTC) alessandra@sid.inpe.br |
Repositório de Metadados | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2010/08.12.19.49.02 |
Última Atualização dos Metadados | 2022:03.26.17.49.58 (UTC) administrator |
Chave Secundária | INPE--PRE/ |
Chave de Citação | MartinsPerPesSegLyr:2010:ImGlCl |
Título | Impact of global climate changes on the wind power density in Brazil |
Ano | 2010 |
Data de Acesso | 28 mar. 2024 |
Tipo Secundário | PRE CI |
Número de Arquivos | 1 |
Tamanho | 20 KiB |
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2. Contextualização | |
Autor | 1 Martins, F. R 2 Pereira, Enio Bueno 3 Pes, Marcelo Pizutti 4 Segundo, Eliude Introvini Cruz 5 Lyra, Andre Arruda |
Grupo | 1 DAE-CEA-INPE-MCT-BR 2 DMA-CPT-INPE-MCT-BR 3 4 5 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCT-BR |
Afiliação | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 3 4 5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) |
Endereço de e-Mail | alessandra@sid.inpe.br |
Nome do Evento | Cospar 2010. |
Localização do Evento | Bremem, Alemanha. |
Data | 2010 |
Tipo Terciário | Extended Abstact |
Histórico (UTC) | 2012-09-11 13:05:37 :: alessandra@sid.inpe.br -> administrator :: 2010 2022-03-26 17:49:58 :: administrator -> alessandra@sid.inpe.br :: 2010 |
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3. Conteúdo e estrutura | |
É a matriz ou uma cópia? | é a matriz |
Estágio do Conteúdo | concluido |
Transferível | 1 |
Tipo do Conteúdo | External Contribution |
Tipo de Versão | publisher |
Resumo | The potential onshore wind power resources in Brazil could reach more than 145,000 MW. Brazils wind energy production has risen up from 22 MW in 2003 to 602 MW in 2009 thanks to the government policy and incentives to encourage the use of wind power and other renewable sources of energy. An additional 256.4 MW is now under construction and should start the operation at the end of 2010. Recently 71 additional projects have been approved as a result of the first wind-only bidding round for energy supply in Brazil of December 2009. The contracts, totaling 1800MW, will start in July 2012 with a supply period of 20 years. Developing wind power in Brazil will help the country to meet its strategic objectives of enhancing energy security and reducing the countrys energy-related greenhouse gas emissions. In spite of this, the long-term growth of the national wind capacity depends not only on a more competitive price for this energy source (today at US$ 84,8MWh) but also on the sustainable domestic development of this technology. Furthermore, since wind contracts are long term, the yet unknown impacts of climate changes on the wind power may possibly cast doubts and uncertainties on the return of investments in this area. This work is an assessment of these impacts in Brazil. We employed climatological time series data from national weather station, and ERA40 reanalysis data from 1960 to 2007 to inspect for trends. We have also produced wind power forecasts by using of the Eta/HadCM climate model, employing the A1B climate scenario from the IPCC report for 2010 2100 period. Two target areas were selected on basis of their greater wind energy potential in Brazil and their largest number of wind projects, the Northeast and the South regions. We first applied a quality- control data screening process to select valid climatological time series followed by the Kendall trend test at 95% confidence level on the validated time series. This statistical analysis shows that about 50% of the 15 selected time series present a statistically significant positive trend against 20% with negative trends. Simultaneously,the selected time series were also employed to validate the Eta HadCM climate model runs for the reference period from 1961 till 1990. Next, we successively compared the runs for the 2010-2040, 2040-2070, and 2070-2100 periods with the reference period. This procedure indicate a tendency for an average of 15% to 30% growth in the wind power density for most of the Northeast region of Brazil, with some regional hot spots exhibiting more than 100% intensification of wind power mainly in the north sector of this region. The South region of Brazil also exhibited this growing trend albeit less pronounced, of about 10%, peaking to more than 20% in some areas. This region also exhibited the strongest seasonal variance, with an overall decrease in the wind power during the austral summer and an increase during the rest of the year with respect to the reference period. Therefore, the overall impact of the global climate change on the wind power in the Brazilian Northeast and South regions are favorable to wind power exploitation on the long run as shown by the Eta HadCM climate model forecast scenarios. |
Área | MET |
Arranjo 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDAE > Impact of global... |
Arranjo 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDMD > Impact of global... |
Arranjo 3 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção até 2016 > DMA > Impact of global... |
Conteúdo da Pasta doc | acessar |
Conteúdo da Pasta source | não têm arquivos |
Conteúdo da Pasta agreement | não têm arquivos |
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4. Condições de acesso e uso | |
URL dos dados | http://urlib.net/ibi/8JMKD3MGP7W/383LCG8 |
URL dos dados zipados | http://urlib.net/zip/8JMKD3MGP7W/383LCG8 |
Idioma | en |
Arquivo Alvo | COSPAR2010_FRMartins_etal.pdf |
Grupo de Usuários | alessandra@sid.inpe.br |
Visibilidade | shown |
Permissão de Leitura | allow from all |
Permissão de Atualização | não transferida |
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5. Fontes relacionadas | |
Repositório Espelho | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2009/08.21.17.02.53 |
Unidades Imediatamente Superiores | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3ETL868 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35 8JMKD3MGPCW/46JKC45 |
Acervo Hospedeiro | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2009/08.21.17.02 |
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6. Notas | |
Campos Vazios | archivingpolicy archivist booktitle callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination doi edition editor electronicmailaddress format isbn issn keywords label lineage mark nextedition notes numberofvolumes orcid organization pages parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project publisher publisheraddress readergroup resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark serieseditor session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark type url volume |
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7. Controle da descrição | |
e-Mail (login) | alessandra@sid.inpe.br |
atualizar | |
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