1. Identity statement | |
Reference Type | Journal Article |
Site | mtc-m16b.sid.inpe.br |
Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
Repository | cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2004/04.28.13.42 (restricted access) |
Last Update | 2004:04.28.03.00.00 (UTC) administrator |
Metadata Repository | cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2004/04.28.13.42.11 |
Metadata Last Update | 2021:02.10.18.59.37 (UTC) administrator |
Secondary Key | INPE-10657-PRE/6119 |
Citation Key | MarengoCavaCama:2003:RaPrNo |
Title | Rainfall Prediction for Northeast Brazil during MAM and AMJ 2003 |
Year | 2003 |
Month | mar |
Access Date | 2024, Apr. 27 |
Secondary Type | PRE PI |
Number of Files | 1 |
Size | 45 KiB |
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2. Context | |
Author | 1 Marengo, José Antonio 2 Cavalcanti, Iracema Fonseca de Albuquerque 3 Camargo, Helio |
Resume Identifier | 1 2 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHDE |
Group | 1 DMD-INPE-MCT-BR 2 CPT-INPE-MCT-BR 3 CPT-INPE-MCT-BR |
Affiliation | 1 CPTEC-INPE-Cachoeira Paulista-12630-000-SP-Brazil |
e-Mail Address | fabia@cptec.inpe.br |
Journal | Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin |
Volume | 12 |
Number | 1-2 |
History (UTC) | 2006-11-17 23:11:19 :: administrator -> estagiario :: 2010-05-11 16:53:02 :: estagiario -> administrator :: 2021-02-10 18:59:37 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2003 |
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3. Content and structure | |
Is the master or a copy? | is the master |
Content Stage | completed |
Transferable | 1 |
Content Type | External Contribution |
Keywords | rainfall prediction |
Abstract | The forecasts for MAM and AMJ 2003 show that the Northeast Brazil region will experience rainfall above the normal, due to a southward migration of the ITCZ and he intensification of the meridional SST gradient in the tropical Atlantic. The fact that El Niño has weakened and almost dissapeared has also contributed to this situation. We analyze the fact that the updated forecasts for MAM and AMJ 2003 run with SST anomalies of February show above the normal rainfall, while the same seasons showed defficient rainfall when the model was run when SST anomalies of December 2003 or January 2003. CPTEC, IRI, ECMWF, UKMet Office, and Hadley Centre have been issuing at the beginning of 2003 forecassts that called for drought conditions on the region, and the changes in the oceanic and atmopsheric fields from January 2003 to February 2003 have motivated this reversal on the rainfall forecast for the region. |
Area | MET |
Arrangement 1 | urlib.net > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > CGCPT > Rainfall Prediction for... |
Arrangement 2 | Rainfall Prediction for... |
doc Directory Content | access |
source Directory Content | there are no files |
agreement Directory Content | there are no files |
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4. Conditions of access and use | |
Language | en |
Target File | helio.htm |
User Group | administrator |
Visibility | shown |
Copy Holder | SID/SCD |
Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 |
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5. Allied materials | |
Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3EUPEJL 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35 |
URL (untrusted data) | http://grads.iges.org/ellfb/Mar03/helio/helio.htm |
Host Collection | cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2003/04.25.17.12 |
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6. Notes | |
Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivingpolicy archivist callnumber copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination documentstage doi electronicmailaddress format identifier isbn issn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes orcid pages parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project readergroup rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype typeofwork versiontype |
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7. Description control | |
e-Mail (login) | marciana |
update | |
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