| 1. Identity statement | |||||||
| Reference Type | Conference Paper (Conference Proceedings) | ||||||
| Site | mtc-m16b.sid.inpe.br | ||||||
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | ||||||
| Repository | dpi.inpe.br/ce@80/2007/01.09.03.57 (restricted access) | ||||||
| Last Update | 2007:04.10.06.35.02 (UTC) administrator | ||||||
| Metadata Repository | dpi.inpe.br/ce@80/2007/01.09.03.57.44 | ||||||
| Metadata Last Update | 2018:06.05.03.33.43 (UTC) administrator | ||||||
| Citation Key | TrappeyWu:2007:EvExLo | ||||||
| Title | An Evaluation of the Extended Logistic, Simple Logistic, and Gompertz Models for Forecasting Short Lifecycle Products and Services  | ||||||
| Format | Print; CD-ROM; On-line. | ||||||
| Year | 2007 | ||||||
| Access Date | 2024, Apr. 28 | ||||||
| Secondary Type | CI | ||||||
| Number of Files | 3 | ||||||
| Size | 1094 KiB | ||||||
| 2. Context | |||||||
| Author | 1 Trappey, Charles V. 2 Wu, Hsin-ying | ||||||
| Affiliation | 1 Department of Management Science, National Chiao Tung University 2 Department of Management Science, National Chiao Tung University | ||||||
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 Trappey@cc.nctu.edu.tw 2 cindywu.ms94g@nctu.edu.tw | ||||||
| Editor | Loureiro, Geilson Curran, Ricky | ||||||
| e-Mail Address | cindywu.ms94g@nctu.edu.tw | ||||||
| Conference Name | ISPE International Conference on Concurrent Engineering, 14 (CE 2007). | ||||||
| Conference Location | São José dos Campos | ||||||
| Date | 2007, July 16-20 | ||||||
| Publisher | Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) | ||||||
| Publisher City | São José dos Campos | ||||||
| Pages | 774-781 | ||||||
| Book Title | Proceedings | ||||||
| Organization | Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) | ||||||
| History (UTC) | 2007-02-27 03:19:12 :: cindywu.ms94g@nctu.edu.tw -> ce2007 :: 2007-02-28 20:02:33 :: ce2007 -> cindywu.ms94g@nctu.edu.tw :: 2007-03-05 16:19:53 :: cindywu.ms94g@nctu.edu.tw -> ce2007 :: 2007-03-29 20:57:54 :: ce2007 -> cindywu.ms94g@nctu.edu.tw :: 2007-04-10 02:02:36 :: cindywu.ms94g@nctu.edu.tw -> ce2007 :: 2007-04-12 21:44:19 :: ce2007 -> administrator :: 2007-05-18 15:23:30 :: administrator -> ce2007 :: 2007-05-21 19:34:40 :: ce2007 -> administrator :: 2007-12-04 15:45:36 :: administrator -> cindywu.ms94g@nctu.edu.tw :: 2007-12-04 19:49:55 :: cindywu.ms94g@nctu.edu.tw -> administrator :: 2018-06-05 03:33:43 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2007 | ||||||
| 3. Content and structure | |||||||
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master | ||||||
| Content Stage | completed | ||||||
| Transferable | 1 | ||||||
| Keywords | Extended logistic model Technology forecasting | ||||||
| Abstract | Many successful technology forecasting models have been developed but little research has explored the relationship between sample set size and forecast prediction accuracy. This research studies the forecast accuracy of large and small data sets using the simple logisticl, Gompertz, and the extended logistic models. The performance of the models were evaluated using the mean absolute deviation and the root mean square error. A time series dataset of four electronic products and services were used to evaluate the model performance. The result shows that the extended logistic model fits large and small datasets better than the simple logistic and Gompertz models. The findings also show that that the extended logistic model is well suited to predict market growth with limited historical data as is typically the case for short lifecycle products and services. | ||||||
| Area | ETES | ||||||
| Type | Supply Chain Collaboration | ||||||
| doc Directory Content | access | ||||||
| source Directory Content |
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| agreement Directory Content | there are no files | ||||||
| 4. Conditions of access and use | |||||||
| Language | en | ||||||
| Target File | paper.pdf | ||||||
| User Group | administrator cindywu.ms94g@nctu.edu.tw administrator | ||||||
| Visibility | shown | ||||||
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 | ||||||
| 5. Allied materials | |||||||
| Host Collection | lcp.inpe.br/ignes/2004/02.12.18.39 cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2003/04.25.17.12 | ||||||
| 6. Notes | |||||||
| Mark | 1 | ||||||
| Empty Fields | archivingpolicy archivist callnumber contenttype copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination documentstage doi edition group identifier isbn issn label lineage mirrorrepository nextedition nexthigherunit notes numberofvolumes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project readergroup resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey secondarymark serieseditor shorttitle sponsor tertiarymark tertiarytype url versiontype volume | ||||||
| 7. Description control | |||||||
| e-Mail (login) | marciana | ||||||
| update | |||||||