| 1. Identity statement | |
| Reference Type | Journal Article |
| Site | mtc-m12.sid.inpe.br |
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
| Identifier | 6qtX3pFwXQZsFDuKxG/AKj3Q |
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/marciana/2004/01.12.15.36 (restricted access) |
| Last Update | 2010:05.13.11.22.20 (UTC) administrator |
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/marciana/2004/01.12.15.36.25 |
| Metadata Last Update | 2018:06.05.00.40.43 (UTC) administrator |
| Secondary Key | INPE-10302-PRE/5804 |
| ISSN | 1467-1298 |
| Citation Key | AlmeidaBaCâMoSoPeCe:2002:EmStCe |
| Title | Empiricism and Stochastics in Cellular Automaton Modeling of Urban Land Use Dynamics  |
| Year | 2002 |
| Month | 2002-02 |
| Access Date | 2024, Apr. 28 |
| Secondary Type | PRE PI |
| Number of Files | 2 |
| Size | 1010 KiB |
| 2. Context | |
| Author | 1 Almeida, Maria Cláudia de 2 Batty, Michael 3 Câmara, Gilberto 4 Monteiro, Antônio Miguel Vieira 5 Soares Filho, Britaldo Silveira 6 Pennachin, Cássio Lope 7 Cerqueira, Gustavo Coutinho |
| Group | 1 DSR-INPE-MCT-BR 2 DPI-INPE-MCT-BR 3 DPI-INPE-MCT-BR 4 DPI-INPE-MCT-BR |
| Affiliation | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais. Devisão de Sensoriamento remoto (INPE, DSR) 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais. Devisão de Processamento de Imagens (INPE, DPI) 3 Department of Cartography, Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais 4 Intelligenesis do Brasil Ltda, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais 5 Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College London, UK |
| e-Mail Address | almeida@dsr.inpe.br |
| Journal | CASA Working Paper Series |
| Volume | 42 |
| Pages | 42 |
| History (UTC) | 2006-07-26 14:25:22 :: marciana -> administrator :: 2008-06-09 19:21:35 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2010-05-13 11:22:28 :: marciana -> administrator :: 2002 2018-06-05 00:40:43 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2002 |
| 3. Content and structure | |
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master |
| Content Stage | completed |
| Transferable | 1 |
| Content Type | External Contribution |
| Keywords | land use change transition probabilities Bayes theorem weights of evidence cellular automata urban growth urban planning |
| Abstract | An increasing number of models for predicting land use change in regions of rapid urbanization are being proposed and built using ideas from cellular automata (CA) theory. Calibrating such models to real situations is highly problematic and to date, serious attention has not been focused on the estimation problem. In this paper, we propose a structure for simulating urban change based on estimating land use transitions using elementary probabilistic methods which draw their inspiration from Bayes' theory and the related weights of evidence approach. These land use change probabilities drive a CA model DINAMICA conceived at the Center for Remote Sensing of the Federal University of Minas Gerais (CSR-UFMG). This is based on a eight cell Moore neighborhood approach implemented through empirical land use allocation algorithms. The model framework has been applied to a medium-size town in the west of São Paulo State, Bauru. We show how various socio-economic and infrastructural factors can be combined using the weights of evidence approach which enables us to predict the probability of changes between land use types in different cells of the system. Different predictions for the town during the period 1979-1988 were generated, and statistical validation was then conducted using a multiple resolution fitting procedure. These modeling experiments support the essential logic of adopting Bayesian empirical methods which synthesize various information about spatial infrastructure as the driver of urban land use change. This indicates the relevance of the approach for generating forecasts of growth for Brazilian cities particularly and for world-wide cities in general. |
| Area | SRE |
| Arrangement 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDPI > Empiricism and Stochastics... |
| Arrangement 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDSR > Empiricism and Stochastics... |
| doc Directory Content | access |
| source Directory Content | there are no files |
| agreement Directory Content | there are no files |
| 4. Conditions of access and use | |
| Language | en |
| Target File | CASA_Online.pdf |
| User Group | administrator marciana |
| Visibility | shown |
| Copy Holder | SID/SCD |
| Archiving Policy | denypublisher denyfinaldraft |
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 |
| Update Permission | not transferred |
| 5. Allied materials | |
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3EQCCU5 8JMKD3MGPCW/3ER446E |
| Host Collection | sid.inpe.br/banon/2001/04.06.10.52 |
| 6. Notes | |
| Notes | Online: http://www.casa.ucl.ac.uk/working_papers/Paper42.pdf |
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination doi electronicmailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition number orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project readergroup resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype typeofwork url versiontype |
| 7. Description control | |
| e-Mail (login) | marciana |
| update | |