| 1. Identity statement | |
| Reference Type | Journal Article |
| Site | mtc-m16b.sid.inpe.br |
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
| Identifier | 6qtX3pFwXQZGivnK2Y/SvenQ |
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m17@80/2007/12.19.13.49 (restricted access) |
| Last Update | 2007:12.19.13.49.00 (UTC) administrator |
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m17@80/2007/12.19.13.49.01 |
| Metadata Last Update | 2018:06.05.03.36.45 (UTC) administrator |
| Secondary Key | INPE-15104-PRE/10011 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11207-007-9059-6 |
| ISSN | 0038-0938 1573-093X |
| Citation Key | Kane:2007:SoCyPr |
| Title | Solar Cycle Predictions Based on Extrapolation of Spectral Components: An Update  |
| Year | 2007 |
| Month | Dec. |
| Access Date | 2024, Apr. 28 |
| Secondary Type | PRE PI |
| Number of Files | 1 |
| Size | 261 KiB |
| 2. Context | |
| Author | Kane, Rajaram Purushottam |
| Resume Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JJ4U |
| Group | DGE-INPE-MCT-BR |
| Affiliation | Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) |
| Journal | Solar Physics |
| Volume | 246 |
| Number | 2 |
| Pages | 487-493 |
| History (UTC) | 2007-12-19 13:49:01 :: simone -> administrator :: 2012-10-24 00:15:02 :: administrator -> simone :: 2007 2013-02-20 15:20:16 :: simone -> administrator :: 2007 2018-06-05 03:36:45 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2007 |
| 3. Content and structure | |
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master |
| Content Stage | completed |
| Transferable | 1 |
| Content Type | External Contribution |
| Keywords | Sunspots - Periodicities - Predictions - Solar cy |
| Abstract | Three series (1876 1986, 1886 1996, and 1896 2006) of 111 annual values of sunspot number R z in each were subjected to spectral analysis to detect periodicities by the maximum entropy method (MEM), and the periodicities so obtained were used in a multiple regression analysis (MRA) to estimate the amplitudes and phases. All series showed roughly similar spectra with many periodicities (24 or more), but most of these were insignificant. The significant periodicities (far exceeding 2ó) were near 5, 8 12, 18, and 37 years. Using the amplitudes and phases of these, we obtained reconstructed series, which showed good correlations (+ 0.7 and more) with the original series. When extrapolated further in time, the reconstructed series indicated R z(max) in the ranges 80 101 (mean 92) for cycle 24 during years 2011 2014, 112 127 (mean 119) for cycle 25 during years 2022 2023, 115 120 (mean 118) for cycle 26 during years 2032 2034, and 100 113 (mean 109) for cycle 27 during 2043 2045. |
| Area | CEA |
| Arrangement | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDGE > Solar Cycle Predictions... |
| doc Directory Content | access |
| source Directory Content | there are no files |
| agreement Directory Content | there are no files |
| 4. Conditions of access and use | |
| Language | en |
| Target File | solar cycle.pdf |
| User Group | administrator simone |
| Visibility | shown |
| Copy Holder | SID/SCD |
| Archiving Policy | denypublisher denyfinaldraft12 |
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 |
| 5. Allied materials | |
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3EU29DP |
| Dissemination | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES. |
| Host Collection | lcp.inpe.br/ignes/2004/02.12.18.39 cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2003/04.25.17.12 |
| 6. Notes | |
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel documentstage e-mailaddress electronicmailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project readergroup rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype typeofwork url versiontype |
| 7. Description control | |
| e-Mail (login) | marciana |
| update | |