| 1. Identity statement | ||||
| Reference Type | Journal Article | |||
| Site | mtc-m16d.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP7W/3972PES | |||
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m19/2011/02.15.11.55 (restricted access) | |||
| Last Update | 2011:02.15.12.00.04 (UTC) administrator | |||
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m19/2011/02.15.11.55.47 | |||
| Metadata Last Update | 2021:07.18.04.01.58 (UTC) administrator | |||
| Secondary Key | INPE--PRE/ | |||
| DOI | 10.1016/j.jastp.2010.09.005 | |||
| ISSN | 1364-6826 | |||
| Citation Key | RigozoEchEvaNorEch:2011:PrSuNu | |||
| Title | Prediction of sunspot number amplitude and solar cycle length for cycles 24 and 25  | |||
| Project | CNPq[151609/2009-8, 200752533-1, PQ 300211/2008-2] | |||
| Year | 2011 | |||
| Month | Jul | |||
| Access Date | 2024, Apr. 27 | |||
| Secondary Type | PRE PI | |||
| Number of Files | 1 | |||
| Size | 606 KiB | |||
| 2. Context | ||||
| Author | 1 Rigozo, N. R. 2 Echer, M. P. Souza 3 Evangelista, H. 4 Nordemann, D. J. R. 5 Echer, E. | |||
| Group | 1 CRS-CCR-INPE-MCT-BR 2 DGE-CEA-INPE-MCT-BR 3 4 DGE-CEA-INPE-MCT-BR 5 DGE-CEA-INPE-MCT-BR | |||
| Affiliation | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 3 Laborato´rio de Radioecologia e Mudanc-as Globais / Departamento de Biofý 4 ´sica e Biometria da Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro 5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) | |||
| e-Mail Address | tereza@sid.inpe.br | |||
| Journal | Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics | |||
| Volume | 73 | |||
| Number | 11-12 | |||
| Pages | 1294-1299 | |||
| History (UTC) | 2011-08-04 17:32:55 :: marciana :: 2010 -> 2011 2011-11-10 13:00:38 :: marciana -> tereza@sid.inpe.br :: 2011 2011-11-25 13:22:11 :: tereza@sid.inpe.br -> administrator :: 2011 2011-11-25 13:22:12 :: administrator -> tereza@sid.inpe.br :: 2011 2011-11-25 13:22:32 :: tereza@sid.inpe.br -> administrator :: 2011 2021-07-18 04:01:58 :: administrator -> tereza@sid.inpe.br :: 2011 | |||
| 3. Content and structure | ||||
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master | |||
| Content Stage | completed | |||
| Transferable | 1 | |||
| Content Type | External Contribution | |||
| Version Type | publisher | |||
| Keywords | Prediction solar activity Sunspot number time series Spectral analysis Multiresolution analysis | |||
| Abstract | The prediction of solar activity strength for solar cycles 24 and 25 is made on the basis of extrapolation of sunspot number spectral components. Monthly sunspot number data during the 18502007 interval (solar cycles 923) are decomposed into several levels and searched for periodicities by iterative regression in each level. For solar cycle 24, the peak is predicted in November 2013 with a sunspot number of 113.3. The cycle is expected to be weak, with a length of 133 mo (months) or 11.1 yr. The sunspot number maximum in cycle 25 is predicted to occur in April 2023 with a sunspot number 132.1 and a solar cycle length of 118 mo or 9.8 yr. Thus, solar cycle 24 is predicted to have an intensity 23% lower than cycle 23, and cycle 25 will be 5% lower than cycle 23. | |||
| Area | CEA | |||
| Arrangement 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDGE > Prediction of sunspot... | |||
| Arrangement 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > CRCRS > Prediction of sunspot... | |||
| doc Directory Content | access | |||
| source Directory Content | there are no files | |||
| agreement Directory Content |
| |||
| 4. Conditions of access and use | ||||
| Language | en | |||
| Target File | sdarticle.pdf | |||
| User Group | administrator marciana tereza@sid.inpe.br | |||
| Visibility | shown | |||
| Archiving Policy | denypublisher denyfinaldraft24 | |||
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 | |||
| Update Permission | not transferred | |||
| 5. Allied materials | ||||
| Mirror Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2009/08.21.17.02.53 | |||
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3EU29DP 8JMKD3MGPCW/3EUFCFP | |||
| Dissemination | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; AGU; MGA; COMPENDEX. | |||
| Host Collection | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2009/08.21.17.02 | |||
| 6. Notes | ||||
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel electronicmailaddress format isbn label lineage mark nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress readergroup resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype typeofwork url | |||
| 7. Description control | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | tereza@sid.inpe.br | |||
| update | ||||